Turnbull

An eerily potent lesson for today

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In 2011 then Polish Central Bank Head Marek Belka spoke about why Eastern Europe understood austerity better than the West ever will. As our governments bloat budget deficits to avoid taking much needed reform and belt tightening he said of Western Europe….

“Because the people here still aren’t used to prosperity. Let me give you an example from my days at the International Monetary Fund. It was at a time when the Latvians had to implement a drastic austerity program, which caused consumer spending to drop by 25 percent in a year. I asked a Latvia negotiator how his country expected to survive this dramatic crisis. He said: What crisis? We had a crisis when the Soviets were sending us to Siberia. Here in Eastern Europe, many still remember why they were once poor, and they’re not afraid of reasonable reforms that are painful in the short term.”

Experience is a great teacher. It gives the test first and the lesson afterwards. Maybe time we prepare to be Latvians.

 

Barnaby fought the law and the law won

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Well the High Court has ruled against the Deputy PM Barnaby Joyce. As a dual citizen he has lost his right to serve in parliament. Despite all the assurances from PM Turnbull that the High Court would rule in his favour, the government has lost its majority in parliament. Now the Turnbull Coalition is at the mercy of the independents for ‘confidence and supply’. The Libs must sack Turnbull. He is dead man walking. While Joyce and the other ministers and senators impacted by the ruling were not specifically Turnbull’s fault he helped trade the party unto such a precarious balance that it will be wiped out at the next election. No one needs an eggshell government. So much for the liberal media talking of Turnbull serving more terms than Sir Robert Menzies.  There is a certain sense of schadenfreude to see the end of the Turnbull era. One hallmarked by terrible judgement, duplicitous and delivery on next to nothing.

What we must not forget that Australia’s long held and hard earned reputation as the safest democracy in the Asian region continues to diminish. With the likely 6th PM in almost as many years we are a laughing stock. That is actually a travesty.

57% want him to stay

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How much value do we put in polls nowadays? A left leaning paper like The Guardian likely asked the question in the refectory of a university campus between sociology and philosophy lectures. Having said that the latest news on a Tony Abbott challenge to PM Malcolm Turnbull is spooking the media. Best crank up the “everyone hates you” and “”why don’t you just quit” rhetoric to try to pressure ministers and liberal back benchers to keep Turnbull there. Still the Guardian doesn’t report 57% want him to stay  43% want him to quit!

It is hard not to be amused (but appalled) at the recent gaffes. From Christopher Pyne’s cheap shot address saying the conservative left is in charge and gay marriage (this piece isn’t arguing the rights and wrongs) was going to happen quicker than everyone thinks (i.e. An election promise would be happily broken) to Turnbull saying he’d quit politics if ousted as leader. Turnbull was really trying to give Abbott a hint to return to a life outside politics at the same time threatening his flunkies to tow the line because a by-election in his seat would see the Libs lose the one seat majority they have. Treasurer Scott Morrison talks as if the public has no idea how cordial and united the party is under Turnbull when everyone knows better.

The main problem with the “Turnbull Coalition” (evidence enough it’s all about him) is that it is Labor Party lite. His backers could in reality serve in either party such is their ideological similarity. Turnbull could have joined the Labor Party but his Point Piper mansion and Goldman Sachs links make him unpalatable to the working class battler.

So now true conservatives have no real choice but to abandon a Coalition ship that no longer sails in their direction. Instead of minimalist government and laissez-faire policies of a true conservative party, the Turnbull Coalition wants more government and higher deficits. While a feral Senate makes passing austerity bills tough, Turnbull champions his achievements (what little there are) with no thought to the extra billions required to buy off  his elites.

Tony Abbott is a man who is sick of seeing the party he’s dedicated decades to be hijacked by the left. He wants the party to go back to its core principles. Would he win the next election as leader? Probably not but he’d save many more seats than Turnbull who boasts he’ll win the 2019 election. Sadly the damage done to the Libs is monumental. The party is divided and voters are sick of it.

A PM Bill Shorten is almost a guarantee, not so much because he is a popular choice to Turnbull (he isn’t) but the fact the Libs stench is too foul. Even at the local level, support (i.e. membership) for the Liberal Party is collapsing. Take Senator Cory Bernardi who split from the Libs to set up the Australian Conservatives – “In South Australia, we already have one half the number of members in the Liberal Party, which is pretty good after a month, and about two-thirds of what the Labor Party has, and that’s just in this state. So we are building from a very strong position.

What we do know is that Turnbull has turned out exactly as thought. He is the complete opposite of what he told us he would be when the coup took place and somehow polls don’t matter for him when they were the key reason to shoot Abbott. Abbott on the other hand cares for his party as much as he’s accused of being a wrecker he wants to provide a real alternative to Labor as the mass defections to One Nation and Australian Conservatives demonstrate. If I had to put money on a winner there will be none. On a who loses less basis, Tony Abbott has principle on his side and sadly Turnbull’s lack of judgement will see him put almost every foot wrong.

What people forget is that politicians are supposed to serve their constituents not themselves. Sadly Turnbull’s ambition to be PM was for his own ego but he will not to go down in history as one of the greatest leaders of our country. In fact I’m struggling to see who is worse – Turnbull or Gillard. In terms of party wrecking ball, Mr Turnbull takes the wooden spoon.

The Red Pill vindicated in the land of the Rising Sun

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For all the drama surrounding the Red Pill movie and the idea that men can be victims, former LDP politician Mayuko Toyoda made the case for defenseless males. She totally lost the plot at her driver/secretary hurling expletives and insults at his baldness and physically attacking him. Japan has had consecutive episodes of politicians making fools of themselves- is there any wonder the population has lost faith in the ability to operate government. Here are a few reminders.

Nakagawa at the G8. After years of failed policy to weaken the yen his drunk press interview sunk the yen more rapidly than any rational policy before it.

Nonomura hearing over falsified travel claims. He burst into tears at his presser.

Then again we shouldn’t overlook the pathetic level politicians hit on a regular basis overseas-

Aussie PM Turnbull on Trump

Justin Trudeau’s cardboard cut outs of himself

Trump love in with his cabinet who all betrothed their adoration for him

Is this what great leaders are made of?

Trump thump in 2018 Mid-terms?

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In what was largely seen as a referendum on the first months of Trump’s presidency, voters dispelled the myth that Democrats would make much easier work in coming elections due to his constant outbursts, tweets and negative media coverage. As the glum faces of the CNN panel show, the Democrats need to wake up to the fact that Trump’s poll ratings aren’t causing the desired effect at the voting booth as Republican Karen Handel won. Director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics Larry Sabato stated,

For Democrats, obviously, it’s pretty depressing. … I think, if Democrats learn a lesson from this election, it’s that the euphoria that they’ve felt for the last several months as Donald Trump has fallen in the polls and they began to believe that this would be — not easy, but doable to take over the House of Representatives and eventually replace Donald Trump, that euphoria is gone, and it’s replaced with reality. And the reality is, it’s going to be a long, twilight struggle, day in and day out, if they’re going to be able to re-take the House and eventually defeat Donald Trump. It won’t be easy. It may not be possible.”

Once again the mainstream media conveniently forgets its ‘trust’ rating is lower than the Donald’s. That’s not a badge of honour for either. Objectively his style is far from statesmanlike. Yet other world leaders do not exactly treat the leader of the world’s largest economy and military with the cordiality due. Two events spring to mind – Australian Prime Minister Turnbull’s Midwinter ball speech mocking a wounded ally and Macron’s snub at the G-7 followed by his arrogant invite for conditional US citizens to leave America for France. Of course such discourse was lapped up by the liberal mainstream media.

Instead of convincing Trump to come to reason, they kick him out of the geopolitical sandpit and then cry foul when he acts out in his own interest. Don’t expect all the 2018 mid-terms to be a complete pushover for the Democrats. The Hillary Clinton campaign imploded on this very strategy. Theresa May fell for the same negligent attitude which cost her so dearly two weeks ago. Voters want to be heard, not taken for mugs. Once again, celebrities who bent over backwards to help Democrat candidate Jon Ossoff, had the same effect on voters – NONE

If only PM Turnbull didn’t stick to his day job either

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Australian PM Malcolm Turnbull thought his speech mocking President Trump at the Mid Winter Ball in Canberra wouldn’t be seen by outsiders despite this day and age where cameras are everywhere and leaks are almost a fact of life. In a desperate attempt to sound funny, Turnbull torched the man he fawned over at the White House. Turnbull  has such poor judgement much less any place in comedy. It’s bad enough that journalism plunges new lows on a daily basis but worse when an elected official decides to rip a close ally in this fashion.

The irony of his speech is that his poll numbers are dreadful.

Media proves they’re petrified of Tony Abbott

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It didn’t take long for the Tony Abbott haters to spring into action. The media naturally is panicked that this Labor-esque budget will kill off Turnbull if the polls don’t reverse and give rise to an Abbott return which they know would win back swathes of disaffected Lib voters who have abandoned the party since the betrayal. Abbott’s crime? Not applauding the Treasurer for the shameful budget presented last night. Spoilt brat, sore loser and against his own party are the accusations. One can only imagine had he clapped the headlines would have read ‘Sell out!’ or ‘Applauds the opposite of what he proposed!

Let’s think about what his actions truly showed in the context of ourselves. If you worked tirelessly and loyally for a company/party and dedicated almost three decades of blood, sweat and tears to an organization’s success let us just say that you have ‘invested’.  Even if you haven’t you may know someone in your firm who has but let’s assume its you. You are unfairly shafted from your leadership role and your conniving successor seeks to undermine you at every opportunity. You are not only demoted but stripped of dignity. Despite clear evidence you still wish to work for the betterment of all because of those years of investment, you are sidelined and black-balled. Any sensible contribution is ignored and those who once supported you start to realize that doing so risks them being tarred with the same brush in front of the new management. You see the fruits of your hard work get eroded even to the point where the damage impacts the core values of your customers. Even though you have sleepless trying to stop the boat you painstakingly and lovingly tried to build and maintain from sinking, management continues to play music on the deck of the Titanic. Some may call your cause futile but they can never deny it is built on trying to be true to the people you serve internally and externally. Then one day you realize that the damage is irreparable and you won’t appease your new boss on the basis of what you know to be the complete antithesis of your soul. People still respect you inside for not selling out. You’re the real deal and secretly people respect you way more than they let on. Secretly they know they are ashamed of their insecurity.

So while I read many social media posts telling Abbott to ‘go away’, ‘quit’, ‘do us all a favour and go‘ I would argue that many of you are playing the man not the ball. Was he flawless? No. Was he well intentioned? Yes. He is the man that volunteers for the rural fire fighting service. He didn’t do it for point scoring, It was dedication to the cause. If indeed it was for point scoring then why would he bother to do it now he is on the backbench? Perhaps ask yourself one question – would you prefer a person of principle to be your boss or someone that would sell you down the river if you ever got in the way of their ambition? If you choose the latter it says a lot more about you than Tony Abbott.  As Churchill remarked, “You have enemies? Good. That means you’ve stood up for something, sometime in your life”

The media is petrified. If they weren’t they’d see no reason to give him any airtime.