#islam

When they love their children more than they hate us

E577F320-8246-46A4-B07A-20AD906809CC.jpeg

If world opinion is to be believed, the Israeli Defence Force (IDF) wants to maximize the Palestinian body count.  The reality is that there is no upside for them to set new records. As awful as such actions are, fence lines and announcements which warn of shooting those who attempt to cross are plain. It should have come as no surprise to all of those protestors what lay in store for them. It is recognized as a sovereign border but this was obviously not a deterrent. The kibbutz of Nahal Oz is less than 2km from the Gaza fenceline. Was the IDF to stand down and allow fenceline intruders to get through, what would we expect them to do once they got to Nahal Oz? Peacefully protest? Even the Washington Post reported in an interview with a 23yo protestor, “We are excited to storm and get inside [Israel]…[we will do] whatever is possible, to kill, throw stones.” If someone crossed your own sovereign border threatening to kill (no matter a veiled threat or not) your fellow citizens, what would you want your border security to do? Exactly.

Such incursions are too numerous. During a trip to Israel in 2011, Nakba Day (the day of Israel’s founding (May 14), also known as the Day of Catastrophe to Palestinians) produced similar results. Not in the numbers killed, but the open encouragement by the Palestinian Authority (PA) for people to die as martyrs. Death triggers higher pension payments to families than does injury. The numbers are not trivial either. What a sad state of affairs that life can be priced so cheaply.

Make no mistake, when the PA gladly insures and encourages loss of life to publicize its independence, the heavier the IDF response the more welcome it is to the Hamas leadership. So contrary to public opinion, Hamas is far more eager to sacrifice Palestinian life than the Israelis are to take it. After all Gaza kindergartens and children’s TV programs go to great lengths to teach hatred of Israel. When countless wars have been waged by neighbors that outnumber it 30:1 and threaten to ‘wipe Israel off the map’ forgive it for living in a state of paranoia. We should remind ourselves when Egypt made a peace treaty with Israel in 1973, President Anwar Sadat ended up getting assassinated for it.

How is that even with the 1993 Oslo peace accords, the PLO carried out 4,000 attacks in the six years that followed? The Israelis under PM Ehud Barak were so desperate for peace that they offered to give the PLO 95% of their territorial demands yet more than 1,000 Israelis were killed, a total exceeding the previous 25 years combined. Arafat never wanted peace with the State of Israel. Every time Israel has extended the branch of peace with Palestine it is rejected. What a surprise when Saudi Arabia’s crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, said several weeks ago,

In the last several decades, the Palestinian leadership has missed one opportunity after the other and rejected all the peace proposals it was given…It is about time the Palestinians take the proposals and agree to come to the table or shut up.”

Jews have lived in the West Bank area continuously for 3,700 years, even after the destruction of Judea by the Romans in 70AD. Arabs became the dominant local population for the first time from 700AD only after Muslim invasions of the land.

What is missed on most people when bashing Israel, is that Palestinians have automatic rights to Jordanian citizenship yet they only covet Israel. There are 21 Arab nations which share a common language which openly refuse to offer asylum to Palestinian refugees which provides a convenient excuse to maintain a hostile posture toward Israel using their suffering as bait. The Jordanians don’t actively push Palestinians to take up citizenship which is their right to do so. As a side note to history, why was it that King Hussein’s Jordanian army was able to murder thousands of PLO militants in the 70s yet the PLO never called for the overthrow of the Hashemite monarchy?

At the time of the founding of the State of Israel in 1948, 90% of Palestinian Arabs lived in Transjordan. At the time there was no movement to create a Palestinian state. It is somewhat ironic that no Arab outrage ensued when Jordan annexed the West Bank (what we know as the occupied territories) in 1950 blatantly disenfranchising the Palestinian Arabs in the process. Even then they never fought for self-determination. In fact it wasn’t until the PLO was first established in 1964, a time the West Bank belonged to Jordan.

Israel remains an open, democratic and multi-ethnic society. It’s 1.3mn Arab minority have full rights and can serve in the Knesset.  On the other hand, the PA has proven itself to be an intolerant, self-serving and corrupt dictatorship.  An independent audit discovered that international aid money lined the pockets of the Palestinian leadership. Money laundering authorities in France discovered that Arafat’s wife’s bank account had amassed $3bn over 20 years. It is ironic that most of the original founders of the PLO didn’t even live in the Palestinian Mandate when the State of Israel was created. Even Arafat was born in Egypt. 

People seem to blame these unfortunate and avoidable events on the shift of the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. However that decision was made clear many months ago and many other countries have decided to follow suit. These events are only going to end when, as Golda Meir once said, “We will only have peace with the Arabs when they love their children more than they hate us.

Afterall how can Israel make peace with people who can’t even make peace with themselves? Ask the majority of Jews, Christians and Muslims who live inside Israel and you can be assured that they want an end to all this violence but the media will never want to push that agenda.

Why is Merkel pushing for a coalition when a caliphate is for the taking?

Why is Merkel bothering trying to form a fragile coalition when she can submit to a caliphate? To be honest seeing this video of a German state run children’s TV channel with two white, blonde Germans submitting to Islam doesn’t surprise. Such is the growing level of indoctrination to make up for the cataclysmic failure of Merkel’s misguided altruism that the state doesn’t even bother to hide it anymore. Is it any wonder that the AfD is 14% of the vote? People are increasingly growing tired of the political correctness yet the authorities in Germany are ever more willing to charge citizens for what the state deems as ‘hate speech’. Politically motivated violence is up 30%YoY in the last two years.

To try to brainwash young kids to accept a growing Muslim population is one thing, getting them to submit to it is outrageous. How naive is the left to think that this is in anyway normal or going to wash with large parts of the population? If they believe in preaching tolerance to young kids why aren’t they looking to form an alliance with a Saudi TV station to help kids In Riyadh to submit to Jesus Christ? For the left spineless submission and shared misery are seen as a virtue. Their Marxist view is that acceptance can be won by denying the national identity.

Promoting tolerance is one thing. Indoctrinating it is another. Germans are a socially conscious people but there comes a time when they feel that their generosity is being taken for granted. When that support requires them to make adjustments to the ways they have practiced culture, dress or community for centuries they have a right to a proper explanation rather than face the threat of the courts.

Go back several years when we witnessed the aftermath of the Cologne sexual assaults on New Year’s Eve. The police and press were muzzled. However after the incident could no longer be concealed, the Mayor of Cologne came out and openly asked women to dress more appropriately to avoid being harassed. Think through the logic. German citizens (more specifically females) must take extra precautions around the very people billions in taxpayer euros are going to support, moreover save them from their desperate plight? Of course not all refugees are responsible for the 64% jump in foreign crime reported by the Interior Ministry (BfV).

Ask why as of June 2016, there were 402,301 small arms carry permits in the National Weapons Register according to the BfV, some 50% higher than that recorded in June 2015? A coincidence that more Germans are feeling ill at ease with Merkel’s social experiment?

While every effort should be made to accomodate those fleeing from persecution and war zones, propaganda videos to brainwash innocent children like this only accentuate the depth of the problem faced by Germany.

Such is Merkel’s folly the EU confirms that 80% of these seeking asylum are economic refugees so much so that she is now pushing a scheme dubbed “Your country. Your future. Now!” which will run until February this year. Individual migrants can receive up to €1,000 if they voluntarily return home, while families can receive up to €3,000 to do the same. The assistance is meant to help reintegrate rejected asylum seekers in their home countries. The refugees, which were unsuccessful in their applications, could also get subsidized housing for a year—to help pay rent, home renovations, or get basic equipment for a kitchen or a bathroom.

Await the excuses that will come out assuring Germans that the children’s TV program was merely a drama and not to be taken as a mainstream view. Common sense will tell us that this is not the last time we will see such media pushed on the local population to force diversity to cover for dreadfully planned policy failure.

Let’s await the June 2017 small arms carry permits statistics to see whether the people are in tune with the view of the state.

Lock’em up – Prisons in America – The facts

C6653A02-60BE-4317-8A77-607B35574A20.jpeg

The Nation reported that the number of privately run prisons is on the move under Trump. At the moment private prisons make up around 5% of the 2.3mn prison population at present. The US now spends $90bn every year to incarcerate these jailbirds or around $39,000 a head (similar to Japan). According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis we had a lull in expenditure on jails after the Lehman collapse. Indeed several states were releasing ‘lower’ risk criminals from prison in order to cut their deficits. This has driven the growth in private prisons.

5571D28E-0244-4470-88E2-1613CB739ECC.jpeg

According to The Nation, “18 states spend more on incarceration than on higher education, and one study found that the total cost of incarceration, including social costs, adds up to $1 trillion. One point seven million children in the United States have a parent in prison, more than 70 million Americans (about one in three) have a criminal record, and those enormous impacts are suffered unequally: While African Americans are about 13 percent of the US population, they make up 37 percent of the male prison population.

The Nation highlights also that “these private prisons are important to understand and discuss because, while only about 8 percent of the current state prison population is housed in for-profit facilities, about 18 percent of those behind bars in the federal system are in these prisons, and over 60 percent of immigration-detention beds are operated by these corporations” the newspaper is overstating the performance of the stocks. While indeed the largest company, CoreCivic (CXV0 rallied off the election it has none-the-less returned to earth.

D96D12E2-16B4-4321-977A-AFB7ED07F642.jpeg

Also earnings whether in revenue or profit terms actually peaked under Obama’s administration.

4A45D78C-8273-48EE-8B77-C68B729CC3A1.jpeg

While the numbers are horrific in themselves, incarceration in the US costs the equivalent of the Slovak Republic’s GDP.

On public safety alone the US is now spending $375bn p.a or the equivalent of Austria or just over half what the country outlays on defence. So combined the US spends $1 trillion per annum on ‘protection.

The Nation also notes, “The Trump administration appears to be focused on expanding the number of undocumented individuals who are detained behind bars in this country. For one, his administration requested more than $1.2 billion [in reality a 1.3% increase] in the 2018 federal budget to expand detention capacity to more than 48,000 beds a day. To put this into perspective: According to ICE, the current daily capacity ranges from about 31,000 to 41,000. And in April, the administration handed GEO group a $110 million contract to build and run a 1,000-bed detention center in Conroe, Texas. And, most recently, ICE issued “requests to identify,” which are basically pre-requests for proposals, from contractors who can house immigrant detainees in South Texas as well as in the interior of the country in places like Chicago, Detroit, and Salt Lake City.

As a reference the border wall is priced at around $10bn.

As an investment, perhaps the US private jails look a bit oversold with the hype immediately  post the election behind us. At 13x P/E for CVX perhaps a turnaround in its earnings potential is ahead of us and a discount to the market with minimal downside risks make it a proper bricks and mortar investment. The above forecasts look reasonably conservative.

Who will do the bidding to accommodate Mrs Clinton? Perhaps a premium will be warranted.

40CA11BA-26BE-4278-B0E2-167757090E6B.jpeg

Populism or Finallysomeoneislisteningism?

IMG_0535.PNG

The chart above is showing the rise and rise of Front National, the party of Marine Le Pen. While we can be easily dismissive of her father Jean-Marie’s vitriol it is clear a growing number of French support her views. She has garnered 7.5mn votes, well beyond the 5.5mn her father achieved in round 2 in 2002. While she may well end up losing the second round there is no point rejoicing a get out of jail free card. These events are telling. It is not as if Le Pen is going away. Like Wilders in Holland she might be too extreme for some but not for 21.5% of eligible voters.

Is it any wonder the establishment parties were knocked out for the first time ever?  She is listening to a growing number of French fed up  with failure, typified by Hollande. Emmanuel Macron might seem a fresh alternative at 39yo but we’ve seen what a disaster youth can be in the form of Canadian PM Justin Trudeau. His popularity is dropping like a stone as he is showing youth doesn’t equate to fresh ideas. Perhaps youth is one of his appeals which frankly is a worry although some might argue he is in touch with the 60s age group too.

Macron was a Socialist under Hollande. Very rarely does one change their party spots. In fact should he win I’m guessing he’ll be more of the same. He’ll pander to soft options and cosy up to the EU but that is unlikely to change the fortunes of those suffering the effects of long term (and youth) unemployment. That just makes Le Pen stronger the next time around. France will continue to suffer more terrorist attacks and weak leadership emboldens an enemy.

Juncker et al will view a Macron victory as a win for the EU but make no bones about the tsunami of discontent that lives inside the union. Now we have an unhinged Turkey which can not benefit the EU in any way. Greece is still a basket case. Italy worsens by the day and is far from a dead cert to avoid Italexit as its referendum concluded indirectly.

The denial from EU flunkies after the Dutch election was staggering. The comments talking of a triumph for the EU couldn’t be further from the mark. The words echoed the type of denial one might find from the England Rugby coach for why his team didn’t make the World Cup play-offs at the home tournament The fans were shaking their heads at the dismal explanation.

In almost every EU country the right wing/anti-establishment parties continue to grow in strength. Even if they haven’t won outright majorities, incumbent parties can’t rest on their laurels. They must adapt. Australians have abandoned the two major parties in droves. The no nonsense One Nation Party is filling the vacuum because they are doing one thing – listening. It is the one thing the EU continues to miss – reform. If they think the Dutch, Austrian and French election results are endorsements this year they’re only accelerating the path to failure. We all know the outcome of national coaches who fail at the highest levels!

Believe 1,000 people in a poll or 1.4mn followers?

FFBF.png

Just like during the US presidential election campaign the polling firms gave results which tended to favour the flavour of the audience. Want to put Hillary in front then go ask more Democrats than GOP and vice versa. The French presidential election run up shows similar kinds of trends with regards to the polls but the social media following as I’ve explained shows the same sort of trends as in the US and Brexit run-offs. Take a look at the Facebook follower share among the 5 leading candidates (above) and then look at the growth since the Paris shooting two days ago (below). The polls showed Le Pen dropping in popularity but she topped Facebook follower growth with 34% of net adds vs 31% for Melenchon. Macron was a paltry 18%. Fillon only 10%.

FFFG.png

On Twitter it was a slightly different story. Looking at the Twitter followers in total it is almost identical to Facebook.

FPET

However the follower growth after the shooting had Macron in 1st spot, followed by Le Pen (+1 spot) and Melenchon (-2 spots).

FFFTC

Reports say 40% of French are undecided in those polls of 1,000 people. Social media polling suggests otherwise. Why would Le Pen be way ahead in both forums if she didn’t stand a chance. Trump won with a Twitter/FB following which continued to outstrip Clinton. Is Marine Le Pen a more effective blogger or is it just that the French see her as someone who speaks her mind.

 

c.50% of Aussies want to ‘skittle’ Muslim immigration & double standards of politically correct candy

It seems that almost half the population in an Essential poll conducted in Australia showed that people would prefer a halt to Muslim immigration. This poll reported that those in favour of banning it included 60 per cent of Coalition voters, 40 per cent of Labor voters and 34 per cent of Greens voters. That a third of Greens voters were in favour of a ban is at odds with its party platform which wants to take on a larger amount. The point  politicians need to wake up to is a growing number are getting fed up with politically correct handling by governments and a shut down of open debate. It also points directly to a growing number of people wanting 18-C reformed.

The most common reasons for wanting a ban were fears over terrorism, a belief that Muslim migrants do not integrate into society and a refusal to share Australian values. The poll was first conducted in early August and then repeated to ensure it was not a rogue. Whatever one’s feelings the results are telling.

Senator Pauline Hanson, leader of the One Nation party, won 600,000 votes at the last election striking a chord with disenchanted voters fed up with ‘political correctness’ and elected officials dancing around the ‘M’ word. Is Australia fundamentally racist or do half the population believe they shouldn’t have to deny their identity to gain acceptance? Do they see big issues with our government forcing asylum seekers to sign codes of conduct making sure they understand that raping women and children is not acceptable? I would imagine that more Australians would like the government to adopt the Swiss approach of ‘integrate to our way of life’

As I have written in the past, there has been a sharp uptick in the right wing parties in Europe. In last weekend’s Berlin election, Angela Merkel’s CDU suffered its worst defeat to alternative parties such as the Alternative for Deutschland (AfD) which also has an anti immigration stance. While Merkel may have taken full responsibility and lamenting over her misguided altruism, voters want action not words. Why is it that Germans are lining up to get permits to carry personal weapons in record numbers. “As of June 2016, there were 402,301 small arms carry permits in the National Weapons Register,” the Interior Ministry said, cited by Die Welt. “This figure is c.50% higher than last year when there were just fewer than 270,000 requests for permits in the first half of 2015.”

Why were people surprised or outraged at Donald Trump Jrs ‘Skittles’ comment? Certainly no difference in stance to the rhetoric of Trump Sr. in discussing ‘harder vetting’ or shock and awe delivery to fellow Deplorables. Regardless of whether one agrees or not with the message delivery it certainly had impact which plays to the Trump call for stronger border control.

While the left jumped all over the comments made by Trump as racist by politicising candy (of all things!) one must ponder why Mars Corp issued a slap down of Trump Jr’s comments while it found it OK in June of this year to put out all white skittles (see below) in honour of LGBT pride week in London.

Skittles1

Skittles wrote, “So this is kind of awkward, but we’re just gonna go ahead and address the rainbow-colored elephant in the room…You have the rainbow … we have the rainbow … and usually that’s just hunky-dory…But this Pride, only one rainbow deserves to be the centre of attention—yours. And we’re not going to be the ones to steal your rainbow thunder, no siree.”

This all too common rash corporate liberalism exposes a double standard among the left.  I note that feminists pushed the cause of M&Ms when talking of men and rape culture. Their line was the same – “you say all men aren’t monsters? Imagine a bowl of M&Ms. 10% are poisoned Go ahead, eat a handful. Not all M&Ms are poison.” Why did Mars not issue a statement denouncing feminists use of M&Ms to politicise rape culture?

Regardless of one’s views on immigration, there is absolutely 100% need for open debate on the topic. Is anyone surprised that the longer governments have swept this elephant in the room under the carpet, the larger the resentment has grown. Perhaps if Mars would allow me to use one of their other brands like ‘Seeds of Change’ to restore ‘goodness from the ground up’ where conversation was organic not genetically modified.