#bmw

Brexit – Jonathan Pie does it again

Whether you’re a Remainer or Leaver, Jonathan Pie explains in his trademark profanity-laced way why the Brexit deal of UK PM Theresa May is such a dud. What is the point of having a referendum which garners the highest ever voter turn out only to throw it back in the faces of both sides? In what world would a collective constituency want their parliamentarians to vote for a deal that makes everyone worse off? Why did May fold to every EU demand? She should have channeled the leader across the pond as to how to negotiate with Brussels.

Last week the Bank of England (BoE) ditched its independence charter to aid-and-abet the PM by producing a document stating a “No Deal” Brexit would hit UK economic growth by 8%.  What a joke. Would the EU seriously try to stitch up the economy of the second largest car market for German auto makers? It is preposterous in the extreme. Obama threatened in 2016 that the 5th largest economy would be at the back the queue when it came to trade deals. Trump would happily move it to the front. Canada and Australia too…can the BoE honestly come up with credible reasons why the ROW would spurn the UK in unison to get to an 8% slump?

Why only now has the BoE discovered this potential economic apocalypse? After all, the scare stories leading into the referendum about how the UK would plunge into the abyss should “Leave” succeed have simply not manifested. None of it. Why believe it now when its forecasts have been so off reservation? After all it did not advise the HM Treasury not to dump all of its gold at the very bottom.

Yet the Brits aren’t so stupid to see the deal being offered is the only one going. They have heard Minister for European Parliament (MEP) Guy Verhofstadt demand that member states hand over more sovereign powers to the EU. They saw EC President Juncker stagger blind drunk across a NATO stage BEFORE the dinner. There was little doubt in their minds when they checked the ballot square as to what was at stake. A No Deal Brexit is the one that should be pursued. The EU has so many disaffected member states that it is the one that needs to play nice with the UK, not the other way around.

 

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Take this chart, which shows the level of apathy member states have to show up and vote at European Parliamentary elections. Were the Brits so gung-ho to stay in the EU, why have only one-third of Brits ever shown up to express their love and affection for federalism? Is it any surprise that Italy, Spain, France & Greece have shown similar disdain over time as the EU fails to deliver for them? Surely the trend since 1979 has shown the underlying mood of member state constituents about how they value EU membership.

Perhaps Verhofstadt put the Brexit discussion into perspective (from 6:20) – after member states ratified the May plan in 38 minutes (a sure sign it is a great deal for the EU) – when he stated the hope that in the not too distant future, “a new generation of British…decide to come back into the great political European family

Tells us all we need to know. This week will show beyond a doubt about whether the island nation will have the very democracy it has shed so much blood to defend will be protected.

As Baroness Margaret Thatcher said of Europe,

 “During my lifetime most of the problems the world has faced have come, in one fashion or other, from mainland Europe, and the solutions from outside it.”

Pets now impacted by climate change – who knew??

There is no better example of how climate change activists create more fairytales to keep the alarmism going. This article found its way into the Mosman Daily. In a suburb where there are more SUVs per square metre than any other in Sydney, what better audience to publish an article to warn owners of Fifi & Pookie there is an elevated risk of climate change!

The dog psychology units should expect to be on standby with a deluge of visits from Lucy the miniature schnauzer and her friends who have become depressed by the changed weather cycles. Canine coiffure salons will be inundated with strict instructions to make sure that organic pet shampoos with natural menthol give them the sensation of feeling cooler to prevent them being triggered.

All those Mosman mothers should cut back on skim flat whites and Lululemon leotards because of the high amount of man-made fibers made from fossil fuels. Let’s not even begin to consider the make up and Chanel No.9 de parfum derived from minke whale blubber they slap on much less the three cans of hairspray used before meeting the girls for tennis…

Shame on those teachers that pushed students to hold a climate change rally in Martin Place today. They missed a huge opportunity to give a voice to the pooches of Mosman to prove that a lower incidence of tail wagging is solely caused by climate change even though the reality is the $1,000 silk cushion from House & Home was torn to shreds when mum was sipping macchiatos and gluten free muffins on Avenue Road.

Shame on the author for not demanding that McIntosh Mercedes, Audi & BMW Mosman be forced out of their Military Road dealerships for their unconscionable corporate greed. Rich Mosman husbands are lining up to buy gas guzzling two door sports cars which gives them the right to exploit the T3 lane when they pick up their mistresses on Cowles Road.

Reading articles like this reinforce the hysterics of the climate alarmists. Should make anyone sleep more soundly at night. By the way, don’t tell anyone but seaside properties in Mauritius continue to make higher highs. The teachers have missed that tidbit too. Then again it doesn’t fit the narrative.

Is BMW hurting bad enough to offer 10yrs free servicing?

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10 years? Sounds a bit desperate. A bit like the Korean makes a few decades back using monster incentives to lure customers by a value to good to refuse proposition. Have luxury car sales become so hard to get in Australia that the prestige make has to offer 10 years of free servicing and 1yr free insurance?

BMW sales in Australia fell 12.2% year on year in August 2018. Audi crumbled 25.8%. Benz did better at -3.4%. Land Rover fell 32%, Lexus down 11.7%. Porsche crumpled 25.4%.

It is likely the fine print in the 10 years free servicing basic package isn’t transferable between owners so if most buyers hold their BMWs for 5 years the total incentive is much less to roll out. If the fine print allows transfers it only adds to the desperate state of having to hurl freebies to shift metal. Dealers tend to make less on the sale of the car but plenty on gouging customers for service and spares.

Seems the tyres are going flat. Total car sales in Australia were down 1.5% in August. Passenger car sales fell 13.4% while those eco conscious Aussies bought 8.3% more SUVs. Medium and large sedan segments fell 24.1% and 60.3% respectively. Every SUV segment rose except upper large. Toyota finished up 1.7% for the month with 19.8% share.

Is Musk losing it?

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Is Tesla CEO Elon Musk losing it? More senior resignations from accounting and HR this week  reveal more cracks in the automaker. He emailed a journalist, calling him a “mother f*cker”. He went further to say he hoped the cave rescuer he called a “”pedo” sued him because a UK man who is single and spent so much time in Thailand must be a child rapist.

He rattled off he had “secured” funding of $420/share to go private and then all of a sudden he didn’t, prompting the SEC to investigate. He was then on radio with comedian Joe Rogan toking what is reportedly a mixture of tobacco and marijuana. Are these the actions of a man running a $50bn market cap company?

Clearly his board can’t control him.  With the shares collapsing and bond prices falling, refinancing will become problematic. Chief  Accounting Officer Dave Morton quit the company after revealing his concerns about the various obstacles Tesla faces.

Tesla’s Chief People Officer, Gabrielle Toledano, took leave in August and said she wouldn’t be returning to Tesla.

Musk has been a genius and visionary to get Tesla where it is today. Yet he is a direct victim of his own hubris. Sleeping under boxes with Tesla bankrupt written on them to living on the factory roof to rattling off about production hell while accusing families of drivers dead due to over reliance in a system he aggressively promoted.Tesla was technically asking for suppliers to refund a portion of the monies they were paid since 2016 to the EV maker so it could post a profit which is borderline accounting manipulation in an attempt to give the impression of an ongoing concern.

He also complained at the lack of support in the media despite being called out on this nonsense.

Musk’s compensation is also linked to a $650bn market cap, which is effectively saying to the market that his company will be worth more than Daimler, BMW, VW, GM, Ford, Toyota, Nissan, Honda, Renault, Fiat-Chrysler, Ferrari and Porsche combined. Just read that last sentence again. Do investors honestly believe that Tesla which consistently misses and is going up against companies that have been in the game for decades, seen brutal cycles, invest multiples more in technology and forgotten more than they remembered will somehow all become slaves to a company which has no technological advantages whatsoever?

The Tesla story is on the ropes. Expect more mega-releases on new products to try to keep the dream alive and the disciples faithful. I guess ‘Lucy in the sky with diamonds’ worked for The Beatles…

Tale of the gold coin chocolate & a warning for Tesla Disciples

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It hadn’t really hit until going back to read the conditions of Musk’s new executive compensation package but the first thing that struck me was the risk of the old adage of paying too much attention to the share price. The collection of all 12 tranches for CEO Elon Musk only kicks in when his company hits $650bn in market cap. The first thing to pop in the head was that of Japanese mobile phone retailer Hikari Tsushin back during the tech bubble. The rather eccentric CEO Yasumitsu Shigeta had gold coin chocolates made embossed with “Hikari Tsushin: Target Market Cap Y100 trillion.” One could only conclude he believed in his own BS.

It was at that moment where the only thing that crossed the mind was ‘this spells trouble’. There were magazines like Forbes touting how Shigeta was one of the richest men in the world and analysts fell hook, line and sinker for this unrealistic dream forecasting he’d be #1 before long. The only rational conclusion for the Contrarian Marketplace was to tell them that “bet he won’t be in the top 100 next year.”  Low and behold the tech bubble collapsed and Hikari Tsushin – that believed it was worth 2x the market cap of then highest valued corporation in the world, General Electric – fell over 95%.

While Musk may not yet have printed target market cap $650bn gold coin chocolates, what the incentives are saying to the market is that his company needs to be worth more than Daimler, BMW, VW, GM, Ford, Toyota, Nissan, Honda, Renault, Fiat-Chrysler Ferrari and Porsche combined. Just read that last sentence again. Do investors honestly believe that Tesla which consistently misses and is going up against companies that have been in the game for decades, seen brutal cycles, invest multiples more in technology and forgotten more than they remembered will somehow all become slaves to a company which has no technological advantages whatsoever?

Once again, this compensation package screams of gold coin chocolates in mentality. Instead of running the business and letting the share price do the talking, the mindset is focused on launching convertibles into space and distracting investors from increasingly dreadful financial results which eventually must come full circle if the results continue to miss. Broader Tesla report here.

BMW R1200GS Rallye Sport Review

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Epic. This must be the best BMW I’ve ridden to date and I’ve ridden and owned lots. This review has nothing to do with BMW Motorrad Japan’s kindness either. 600km in the saddle today . Not tired. It eats miles like any other GS. Perhaps the biggest fault with the liquid cooled GS Adventure (I’ve owned one) is a slightly detached feeling beneath you. It’s not that you don’t trust it but sometimes you’re never quite sure what is going on below. The GS Rallye Sport changes all that. While perhaps not as crisp (nor should it be) as the S1000RR superbike the Rallye’s handling is exceptionally communicative. Loads of feedback. Ironic that the Rallye is supposed to be a hard core off-road GS but it’s on-road manners are better than most of the other road going bikes in the BMW stable. Let’s break it down.

Handling 5/5

While it is 20kg lighter than the GS Adventure it is a totally different bike. Despite the same 19-inch front tyre I kept turning into corners too early to begin with as it darts like it had a 17″ up front. Not a criticism. Just a pleasant surprise. Once you get used to the quick turn in you forget your waltzing with the fat bird from the Flight of the Valkyries and start doing the tango with Marlene Dietrich.

Handling is very neutral as all GS are with a dash of shaft oversteer when pushing and hard braking while down shifting. There is no understeer whatsoever in sharp bends despite the 19″. The suspension is self leveling and never got flustered at any speed (of course the speed limit was never exceeded… erhem). Even in the wet the feedback was confidence inspiring.

Even in wet weather with patchy road surfaces  the Rallye just ploughed through. It never got bumped off line and kept relaying what was going on.

I had a small jaunt off road but not enough to pass judgement.

Brakes 5/5

They are the same spec as the GSA but somehow the bite is much stronger with good progression. This was surprising. I’m big on brakes after my accident. The brakes are linked  when the front lever is pulled but the rear is independent and offers good feel.

Engine 4/5

The engine is sweet with 125hp of power. There are times you thirst for a bit more top end but it is tractible everywhere in the rev range and has enough hustle. A KTM will eat its lunch with 160hp but it’s  real world power.

Economy is good. The 20 litre tank is good for 350km, maybe 400km if ridden gently.

Gearbox 4/5

The new synchro box is pretty decent. It has a quick shifter which is smoother down than up. I’ve ridden the S1000XR with a quick shifter and on the move it’s fine. It is when pulling away from a stop when you feel the fight between the clutch control and the computer controlled hydraulics. It feels cumbersome. The GS Rallye doesn’t suffer like this which also allows you to turn it on a dime at walking speed. Impressive

Ergonomics 4/5

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The dash is simple to read and the Navigator V is much quicker than its predecessor with clever functionality on the left handlebar mounted swivel mouse. I haven’t played with the settings of the navigator but it seems to have been designed by a dodgy taxi driver sometimes sending you on such a long way round that it seems implausible. I tried to go from Fukushima to Minami Soma (around 60km) and the navigator said 256km. Hmmm. This has been so on several I’ve tried.

The weather on the way from Fukushima to Sendai was a deluge. Wind and weather protection was good but I’d elect for the shorter screen as the standard screen in high or low setting sends wind flow hits my helmet right at ear level.

Seating position is perfect (for me). With suspension in dynamic MAX mode and the ride height with seat in high position it is around 890mm. The seat is plush and the backside didn’t give out over the 600km. In fact it is far better than the GS Adventure’s bench. Heating would be a nice option, especially for a pillion.

Mirrors are pretty useless. More a fashion item. They should be squarer instead of triangular.

I initially didn’t like the idea of keyless but after today I see its benefits.

Summary

It is such a leap forward. They have taken the best selling adventure bike around and dialed it to 11. Flummoxed by nothing. Good looks and practicality. Anyone who owns a GS should ride one. You won’t believe how much better it is than what you have. In fact don’t ride it because you’ll regret it when you hand the keys back.

I’ve owned a R1100S, K1300S, K1600GT, a liquid cooled GSA and still have my oil-cooled R1200GSA. With the exception of the one I’ve kept, most of them have been technological masterpieces but lacked ‘soul’. The Rallye on the other hand has bags of character and I’ve been smiling all day at how unbelievably good it is!

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