Elections

Trump thumped in Virginia

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The Republicans were thumped in the Virginia gubernatorial. The above map shows the VA result by county and the bottom the Nov 2016 turnout. 10% more Democrats turned out than Republicansthis time. While the result is not unprecedented for a first year sitting  President to lose a state like this it does point out that their fearless leader Trump is not untouchable and no vote is guaranteed no matter how much liberals whinge, social media or mainstream media whips up supposedly ‘fake news’! Indeed there is a point were languishing polling translates to reality and Trump can’t conceivably expect his charisma to carry any day. The people want results. Hillary treated the election like a coronation. Trump should be wary to think his fans will blindly follow him.

One point Contrarian Marketplace has made constantly is that ‘individual votes’ matter. Nothing is guaranteed and for all of the anger pointed at Trump’s win CM has said that the best thing to come from this president is don’t fall for a supposed divine franchise. If you don’t show you may get the opposite result. VA was a massive flip in seats – 14 – the highest switch from GOP to Democrat in 118 years. Indeed the masses can stew over the laziness of their own side or come to admit that his way of ruling is not carrying everyone along for the ride. It is early days but 2018 looks like it maybe far tougher if the Republican voters don’t get off their backsides and go to the polling booths or talk sense to their fearless leader. Like the cult of Musk, Trump must come to terms that Making America Great Again when in the top job requires results not rhetoric.

No fake news here. Just bad news for the GOP. #WakeAmericaUpAgain

Snigger if you have to but the bigger trigger is in the voter figures

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The latest Galaxy Poll ahead of the Queensland state election on Nov 25 has the One Nation party surging to 18% of the vote. It was a mere 0.9% in 2015. Once again the stench of the two major parties completely buried in political correctness and tip-toeing around issues that are bothering voters are losing their core supporters. Say what you like about One Nation leader Pauline Hanson’s “in yer face” style but it appears to be working. For all those that look at anyone who would vote for her as being a bigot, racist or fool, the major parties must do soul searching as to why a growing number of voters would look to select her.

It is one thing to ridicule her voters. It is more telling that these mainstream parties can’t seem to win their trust via sensible policies of their own. Surely even bigots and racists have enough common sense to vote for parties that have the best balance of law making. Yet the LNP and Labor parties continue to bleed support heavily.

Yes we can jump to conclusions by pinning it on the “populist” thematic that seems to be sweeping across the world. People are growing sick on tired of governments that lack accountability, The mass screw ups in public policy. They’re sick of seeing limp wristed responses and more laws that gag voters who question their incompetence.

So to mainstream parties across the world. You need to look within rather than blame voters. You either have dreadful delivery, policy that is out of touch or both. Still you will eventually learn that experience is a hard teacher – you get the test first and the lesson afterwards.

 

Barnaby fought the law and the law won

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Well the High Court has ruled against the Deputy PM Barnaby Joyce. As a dual citizen he has lost his right to serve in parliament. Despite all the assurances from PM Turnbull that the High Court would rule in his favour, the government has lost its majority in parliament. Now the Turnbull Coalition is at the mercy of the independents for ‘confidence and supply’. The Libs must sack Turnbull. He is dead man walking. While Joyce and the other ministers and senators impacted by the ruling were not specifically Turnbull’s fault he helped trade the party unto such a precarious balance that it will be wiped out at the next election. No one needs an eggshell government. So much for the liberal media talking of Turnbull serving more terms than Sir Robert Menzies.  There is a certain sense of schadenfreude to see the end of the Turnbull era. One hallmarked by terrible judgement, duplicitous and delivery on next to nothing.

What we must not forget that Australia’s long held and hard earned reputation as the safest democracy in the Asian region continues to diminish. With the likely 6th PM in almost as many years we are a laughing stock. That is actually a travesty.

Zero CO2 emissions at Tokyo Olympics for 4 days during ceremonies

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Fresh after her drubbing in the elections over the weekend Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike is proposing zero CO2 emissions during the 4 days of 2020 Tokyo Olympic/Paralympic ceremonies. Presumably the trains to transport passengers to the stadium will be shut down as they’re powered by gas fired electricity while hepa filter gas masks will be distributed to every foreign visitor and Tokyo resident to ensure the goal can be met. People won’t be able to drive nor eat in restaurants that cook with gas or electricity and diners mustn’t eat because they’d be breathing CO2 between bites.

Hang on how is she going to justify the Olympic flame? Or the fireworks at the opening and closing ceremonies for the Olympics and Paralympics? More CO2!

More green madness.

For a supposed populist right winger she’s leaning to be a lefty in pretty short order. That is a great shame and for all the antiestablishment rhetoric she’s more mainstream than the establishment.

Children’s book about Hillary designed to put kids to sleep

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Just when victim based identity politics couldn’t plunge any lower, a children’s book about Hillary has been written. If anything Michelle Markel’s ‘Hillary Rodham Clinton: Some Girls Are Born To Lead’ could be a cure for overworked parents with insomniac children. Indeed it would be a fairytale if it ended up with her as the President! The real tale of the story should be that little girls can get ahead on ability, not just fall back on gender i.e. the very opposite of the campaign she ran. As long as the story stays clear of the horror of the Clinton Foundation and the deleting of 30,000 emails (rather apt for today’s generation) kids will be spared endless trauma.

Instead of adding Hillary to a list of illustrious but by no means complete list of amazing females that got ahead through their own efforts, Markel talks of the difficulties of the 1950s. She forgets the following –

Nobel Prize in Physics, 1903: Marie Curie

Nobel prize in Literature, 1909: Selma Ottilia Lovisa Lagerlöf

Nobel Prize in Chemistry, 1911: Marie Curie

Nobel Peace Prize, 1931: Jane Addams

Prime Minister of Israel: 1969 Golda Meir

Prime Minister of England, 1979: Margaret Thatcher

Mostly women who never used gender as an excuse but triumphed through ability. The best lesson of all for ambitious kids although in this day and age everyone wins a prize which I guess should be the tenet of the book.

In fact her latest autobiography would make a better children’s book, perhaps the (rather unfortunately named) Mr Men series as ‘Little Mrs Blame it on Eveyone Else’ because Roger Hargreaves could tell kids how her constant whining eventually stopped people listening. Perhaps a book best that would be best read by herself.

Perhaps Melania Trump should offer Hillary Rodham Clinton: Some Girls Are Born To Lead to libraries and schools to see whether liberals would be as triggered and outraged when she sent Dr Seuss!

Voters put Abe back while putting Koike back in her place

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So LDP party leader and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe won a majority in yesterday’s national election. While much expectation was made of Yuriko Koike’s conservative Party of Hope to take advantage of the scandal ridden LDP, voters looked at the platform which had a reasonably patchy manifesto (non-conservative policies of basic income and retained earnings taxation) and saw the fact she wasn’t running as a sign of a self vote of no confidence. While there was much promise at the start she’d drag the Democrats into her fold, they ended up splitting leaving her with too little time to front a proper challenge.

While Abe was tainted with two sizable scandals his coalition with the Komeito has given him 312 seats, a loss of 12 on the last election, the people were prepared to back a more stable platform in the LDP over Koike who ended up sadly being nothing more than hot air rather than the ‘populist’ which saw her crush the LDP at the local Tokyo level. Perhaps there was a touch of Theresa May who thought she had much more of a backing than ended up happening. The Party of Hope ended up with 49 seats, 8 less than the Dems who backed her had at the last election. The other half that split under Edano’s Constitutional Democrats ended up with 54, 39 better as he ran a more honest campaign.

The LDP will now have until 2021 where it is likely Abe will hand the reins over to Kishida, the current Minister of Foreign Affairs, mid term. Despite the typhoon on election day the turnout was a tad under 54%, up on 2014 and not too different from the 1979 election that fell during a typhoon.

One of Japan’s biggest problems is that opposition parties have never had much time in office and when they have they’ve not been effective. So with so much turmoil on the opposition side via a split Democrat platform, the LDP ended up winning because there was so little on offer on the other side. For Japan, there was no populist revolt like so many countries in the West. Koike thought she would gain a much bigger backing than she ended up with and her platform which promised a change to the chain smoking old guard in reality came up with little more than that smoke being blown back in her face.

How many more EU-skeptics can one squeeze in a selfie?

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Last week a 31yo Austrian Sebastian Kurz swept to power in Austria with a strong anti-EU bias. Following the growing strength in nationalist parties in The Netherlands, France, Germany, Catalonia, Britain, Hungary, Italy, Poland it seems that the Czech Republic may be the next country to say, “who do you think you are kidding Mr Juncker

Tomio Okamura (far left in the picture) of the Czech Freedom and Direct Democracy Party (SPD) has experienced a huge surge in popularity in the polls on the eve of the vote suggesting he could secure 10% and form part of the governing coalition of which the center-right Ano Party is set to win.

He said that “Over the last couple of years, the EU has shown itself to be un-reformable… The elites are incapable of showing the flexibility needed to react to current and crucial problems such as terrorism and the migration of Muslim-African colonisers to Europe.

So where have we heard that before? Once again regardless of whether a growing number of people in Europe are viewed as unsympathetic, racist or bigoted towards refugees they are ‘still’ voting for these nationalist parties which can only be seen as another vote of no confidence in the EU project. How could it be anything else?

As to the anti-EU selfie, they may need a drone camera to squeeze them all in next time.