Making crime pay – a positive indicator of strength in Japan


Logic tells us that crime occurs when times are tough. While there is sense in that argument it seems that crime rates are perhaps the most positive indicator for investing in  Japan. Why? In a somewhat counter-intuitive looking chart for a law abiding country,  a good indicator for relative economic strength is crimes committed. The economic rationale for crime would be the ability for the ‘second hand’ grey market to thrive in ‘lost in transit’ goods. In the Tohoku region, crimes committed per 100,000 population take the bottom four places which is unlikely to be solely down to the inability of pensioners (collectively the highest rates of 65yo+ residents) to literally outrun the law.  These four prefectures have well below average GDP/Capita. The Top 7 crime infested prefectures have the highest GDP/Capita.

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