Does the above surprise you? Europe’s long history almost guarantees it. Don’t get me wrong. I love Europe. Cross a border and the architecture, culture, language and food changes instantaneously. I recall at the time of listing Airbus (EADS) in 1999 and the management wanted to point to their cultural differences by getting three actors to play a German, French and Spaniard with a satirical twist. The German arrived 10 minutes early and was all prepared before the scheduled presentation time of 9am. The French actor rocked up 20 minutes late talking on his mobile phone as he joined the stage to the visible but contained ire of the German actor. 45 minutes later the Spanish actor showed up. The German actor banged the table, stood up and asked him “Where the hell have you been? Didn’t you know the presentation started at 9am?”He replied, “Yes, I know…I just had something better to do!”
However when European member states are told by a bunch of unelected bureaucrats how they must conform against the norms of their individual joie de vivre it can only ever end up as the continent of discontent. I wrote a report on elections 13 months ago pointing to the rapid shift of right-wing parties across Europe (refer to Fig.2 in that report). I’ve since updated the table and it has only gotten more extreme. People are sick and tired of politicians who have lost touch with the average man and woman on the street. Expect Italy’s referendum to be a NO and the right wing FPO’s Norbert Hofer to take the presidency in Austria.
I find Jean-Claude Juncker’s about face perhaps the most telling sign of the EU’s inevitable failure. Pre-Brexit, his aggressive vitriol and arrogance toward member states has slowly dawned on him half a year after the event. He even threw barbs at Farage immediately after his victory speech and told the Brits they’d be punished for their betrayal.
I doubt he had any sleep Saturday night nor Sunday. The Europroject has been a failure. It was always a good theory to unite tribes often at each other’s throats but when a federalist bunch ignored the will of the individuals they sought to rule over then they only have themselves to blame. Such as the plan to fairly distribute refugees among member states. I actually thought the problem was more to do with trying to resettle asylum seekers into countries that didn’t want them. Regardless of the humanitarian angle to helping them, when countries vote 98% to reject them I wouldn’t want to be sent there.
At the end of the day, populism will rule the day in Europe. It has been a long time coming. A Trump win is cited as the reason Europeans are feeling the courage. I doubt it. They’ve been buried under a rock for the last decade as the table above explains clearly.