Call it what you will but the underdog won. I always held Trump had closet voters uneasy about admitting it in public for fear of retribution. Never has someone in US politics had so much stacked against him -the mainstream media, Democrats, many Republican Party elites, Wall St and self-inflicted gaffes. Throughout the entire campaign most people wrote him off yet his biggest Trump card was “Make America Great Again” which resonated with those who had been suffering under the veil of ill guided economic policy and political correctness under Obama and to be fair previous administrations. Sure people screamed he awoke the racists and bigots but there aren’t c.60mn that voted for him. Hillary lost fair and square, her second loss.
Trump, as Michael Moore said, “was the Molotov cocktail”for disaffected voters. It is not only a massive shock to the Democrats but a true reflection of how hollow Obama’s achievements actually were viewed by voters today. Had his legacy been so untouchable the people would show him love and Hillary Clinton could have sat in Obama’s golf cart instead of campaigning for 12 months. Yes he was left with a mess after Bush but his constant dodging of due process, using the DoJ to deliberately mislead multiple supreme courts forcing mandatory ethics training for its members. His liberal policies failed voters – that’s why his party was beaten in the popular vote and the electoral vote.
While some may rattle on about the glass ceiling and this being a sexist vote against Clinton, I say it wasn’t. America voted a black man into the Oval Office twice. They’ve passed the diversity test. Clinton carried decades of scandal, baggage, Clinton Foundation pay for play, FBI investigations, an alleged rapist for a husband and potential health issues to weigh her cause down. I also thought Tim Kaine was awful (he was thumped by Pemce in the VP debate) and never forget his line that “I’ve never lost in 9 elections” Such ‘Titanic is unsinkable’ chatter was a confirmation for me that the Dems drowned in hubris.
Another problem was the media believing their own BS. They were so stuck in their own echo chamber which invited the disaffected to sign up to vote. I wrote a report on social media showing how much it was weighing in Trump’s favour. How many 10s of thousands saw after fed his rallies.
The Republican Party will also get a massive kick in the arse. Many repudiated Trump. They did in the hope he’d lose so they could retain their core and act as true Republicans. That will be their downfall.
As to what a Trump presidency holds it will be unpredictable. Although Pemce will be a steadying hand.
Of course the bleating begins. The elites will choke on their Michelin star filet mignon steaks at their 5-star hotels wondering what went wrong. I said that this election was about poverty. 8 years of Obama made it worse. Many Democrat supporters shoved economic record after record in my face and I disproved it saying the people experiencing hardship are going through it in real time while you live behind your gated compound. The left has often resorted to name calling the deplorables as idiots and unintelligent. One suggested was genocide or education required to turn them? I queried why do people who support a party like the Democrats have an issue with democracy? People tried to belittle people at Brexit comparing leavers to morons. To turn the argument on its head those criticizing them could be accused of blind ignorance.
So beyond that expect two things in the investment world – buy defense and fossil fuel stocks and sell renewable energy. Buy gold because the world economy is already at breaking point.
For Japan, the US won’t abandon them in defense. On the contrary. Under Obama defense spending has sunk to 3.7% of GDP and I’m guessing under Trump it will head back to 4.5%+ range. I think he’ll unite Russian interests with regards to Syria. His protectionist policies will have ramifications but as the worlds largest economy there is a prerogative to do it. TPP is dead
On balance I know many Democrats will be borderline suicidal but Trump will be nowhere near as bad as the group think media has made him. The economy is already on the ropes. Therefore hard choices will be easier to make. The American people have given him the keys to the Oval Office to make change and the best part of it will be “political correctness” will be buried deep into the White House garden.